Where and when is Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas played?

Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Unionistas II

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas?

Burgos Promesas starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,705).

Unionistas II win36 %

Draw29 %

Burgos Promesas win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unionistas II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unionistas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Numancia II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unionistas II	1.6	1.3	4	8/15	9/15
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Unionistas II	34	6	13	15	32	43	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas played?: Unionistas II vs Burgos Promesas is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.