Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Calasanz de Soria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bembibre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria?
On Elo ratings, Bembibre has 1,728 points and Calasanz de Soria 1,729.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Calasanz de Soria
Not enough data to predict the Calasanz de Soria lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Calasanz de Soria have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Calasanz de Soria score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Calasanz de Soria | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 8 matches) and Calasanz de Soria sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bembibre | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | Calasanz de Soria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Calasanz de Soria.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria played?
- Bembibre vs Calasanz de Soria is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027GuijuelovsAlmazán
- May 2, 2027ArandinavsCultural Leonesa II
- May 2, 2027Cristo AtléticovsTurégano
- May 2, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsUD Santa Marta
- May 2, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsMirandés II
- May 2, 2027Atlético MansillésvsSalamanca II
- May 2, 2027VillaralbovsPalencia CF
- May 2, 2027Unionistas IIvsBurgos Promesas