Atletico-MG vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 13, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on August 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 49′PaulinhoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2023 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | Bahia 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 29, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Bahia 3-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 9th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy