Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 3-1 on September 27, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 11′KenoAtletico-MG
- 51′KenoAtletico-MG
- 55′IsaqueGremio
- 66′KenoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2020 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Coritiba(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Sao Paulo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2020 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Bahia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico-MG 4-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Oct 13, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy