Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 3-1 on September 27, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 11′KenoAtletico-MG
- 51′KenoAtletico-MG
- 55′IsaqueGremio
- 66′KenoAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 11Keno
- 18Eduardo Sasha
- 21A. Franco
- 23Nathan
- 70J. Savarino
- 8Jair
- 2Guga
- 16Igor Rabello
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 3J. Alonso
- 31Everson
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 46Isaque
- 25Pepê Aquino
- 15Darlan
- 7Matheus Henrique
- 16Lucas Silva
- 18Robinho
- 32Diogo Barbosa
- 2Victor Ferraz
- 28Paulo Miranda
- 14David Braz
- 1Paulo Victor
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2020 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Coritiba(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Sao Paulo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2020 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Bahia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win, 0 draws, 5 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico-MG 4-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Oct 13, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy