Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 4, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on November 4, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. ZarachoAtletico-MG
- 56′J. CampazGremio
- 75′E. VargasAtletico-MG (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Cuiaba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Juventude(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico-MG on Jan 20, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy