Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on January 20, 2021 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio and Atletico-MG drew 1-1 on January 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 31′HyoranAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 85′ÉvertonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Atletico-MG have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Bahia(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 11, 2021 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico-MG 4-3 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Sep 27, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy