Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 12, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on July 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′E. VargasAtletico-MG
- 18′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
- 45′PaulinhoAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
3-4-2-1- 7Hulk
- 11E. Vargas
- 10Paulinho
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 5Otávio
- 23A. Franco
- 6Gustavo Scarpa
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 21R. Battaglia
- 26R. Saravia
- 31Matheus Mendes
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 9J. Calleri
- 47Ferreira
- 10Luciano
- 7Lucas Moura
- 16Luiz Gustavo
- 25Alisson
- 6Welington
- 28A. Franco
- 5R. Arboleda
- 2Igor Vinicius
- 23Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sao Paulo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Botafogo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Flamengo(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Internacional(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2024 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Criciuma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG wins, 3 draws, 0 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Sao Paulo 0-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo on Dec 3, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (50 points from 34 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 50 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy