Mirassol vs Atletico-MG: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Atletico-MG. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirassol wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
On Elo ratings, Mirassol has 1,861 points and Atletico-MG 1,936.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirassol vs Atletico-MG
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirassol
4-2-3-1- 30Bruno Santos
- 27Denilson
- 33Eduardo
- 95Edson
- 10Chico
- 7Shaylon
- 6Reinaldo
- 3Willian Machado
- 32Igor Formiga
- 34João Victor
- 22Walter
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 18T. Borbas
- 5Alexsander
- 39Mamady Cisse
- 17Igor Gomes
- 27A. Minda
- 11Bernard
- 2Natanael
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 36K. Pascini
- 3Léo Duarte
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirassol have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico-MG have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Uberlandia(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mirassol wins, 1 draw, 2 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Mirassol | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Mirassol 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Mirassol on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirassol score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirassol sit 14th in Serie A (36 points from 31 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 5th (50 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 44 | 36 |
A question about Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Atletico-MG.
- Where and when is Mirassol vs Atletico-MG played?
- Mirassol vs Atletico-MG is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.