Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on December 3, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on December 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 77′HulkAtletico-MG
- 90′LucianoSao Paulo (pen.)
- 90′PaulinhoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sao Paulo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Gremio(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2023 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | Sao Paulo 0-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG on Aug 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 9th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy