Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 12, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on October 12, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 72′LuanAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sao Paulo have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Vitoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Gremio(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2014 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2013 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2012 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2011 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG on May 31, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy