Palmeiras vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 12, 2014 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras won 2-1 on October 12, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 56′H. BarcosGremio (pen.)
- 67′P. MouchePalmeiras
- 75′João PedroPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Figueirense(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Vitoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Goias(away) | 0-6 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Palmeiras win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2014 | Gremio 0-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Palmeiras 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Palmeiras 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 1st in Serie A (51 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy