Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2010 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
Sao Paulo won 2-3 on September 5, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 10′CasemiroSao Paulo
- 17′Manuel de Brito FilhoAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 39′Manuel de Brito FilhoAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 55′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
- 60′Fernando Lucio da CostaSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sao Paulo have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2010 | Goias(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2010 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2010 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 22, 2010 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2010 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2010 | Fluminense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2010 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 22, 2010 | Corinthians(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2010 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 8th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy