Atlético Mineros vs Castro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mineros the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Castro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Mineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mineros vs Castro?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Atlético Mineros (1,650) and Castro (1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Mineros vs Castro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Mineros
4-3-3- DDiego Villar
- FFernando Abascal Aller
- SSergio Tresgallo Gallo
- JJosé Saras
- AAarón Villanueva Revuelta
- JJosemi Barragán
- 19Diego Guemes
- AAntonio Fuentevilla Barriuso
- DDavid Ruiz
- ÃÃngel Cobo
- JJavier Villegas
Castro
Not enough data to predict the Castro lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mineros have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Castro have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castro(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atlético Mineros win, 1 draw, 3 Castro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castro 0-2 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Atlético Mineros 0-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Castro 2-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 5, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 1-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Castro 2-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Castro vs Atlético Mineros on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mineros score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineros | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Castro | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mineros sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 7 matches) and Castro sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Castro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Atlético Mineros vs Castro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mineros vs Castro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mineros the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Castro.
- Where and when is Atlético Mineros vs Castro played?
- Atlético Mineros vs Castro is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.