Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
Atletico Paranaense won 2-1 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′L. EsquivelAtletico Paranaense
- 26′Erick PulgaBahia
- 69′Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoAtletico Paranaense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico Paranaense win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1- 18K. Vargas
- 7S. Mendoza
- 21Leozinho
- 37L. Esquivel
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 16Jádson
- 12Gilberto
- 4Arthur Dias
- 33J. Aguirre
- 25Dantas
- 1Mycael
Bahia
4-3-3- 16Erick Pulga
- 9A. Véliz
- 7Ademir
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 5N. Acevedo
- 14Erick
- 46Luciano Juba
- 4Kanu
- 33David Duarte
- 44Marcos Victor
- 1Ronaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bahia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Remo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Paranaense wins, 2 draws, 2 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bahia 3-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Paranaense sit 5th in Serie A (54 points from 34 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (53 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
A question about Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy