Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 25, 2020 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-2 on October 25, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 44′Carlos EduardoAtletico Paranaense
- 55′Thiago HelenoGremio (o.g.)
- 88′FerreiraGremio
Official lineup for Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico Paranaense
4-2-3-1- 79Renato Kayzer
- 96Carlos Eduardo
- 88Christian
- 26Erick
- 11Nikão
- 5Wellington
- 3L. González
- 16Abner
- 34Pedro Henrique
- 44Thiago Heleno
- 1Santos
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 46Isaque
- 19Luiz Fernando
- 15Darlan
- 20Thaciano
- 16Lucas Silva
- 11Éverton
- 38Rodrigues
- 17L. Orejuela
- 12Bruno Cortez
- 14David Braz
- 1Paulo Victor
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2020 | Penarol(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Ceara(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2020 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Botafogo(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Paranaense wins, 1 draw, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2019 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Gremio 0-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio on Nov 28, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Gremio | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Paranaense sit 4th in Serie A (54 points from 32 matches) and Gremio sit 17th (34 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 54 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy