Bahia vs Fortaleza EC: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 11, 2020 at 09:45 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Fortaleza EC?
Bahia won 2-1 on November 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′JuninhoBahia
- 65′BérgsonFortaleza EC
- 71′GilbertoBahia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2020 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FBC Melgar(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2020 | FBC Melgar(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Atletico-MG(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Sao Paulo(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2019 | Fortaleza EC 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Bahia 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy