Atlético Porcuna vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 15Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Benito, Porcuna
The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Porcuna vs Alhaurino?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Atlético Porcuna (1,716) and Alhaurino (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Porcuna have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torreperogil(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlético Porcuna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Alhaurino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alhaurino 3-0 Atlético Porcuna | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Atlético Porcuna 3-4 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Alhaurino 2-3 Atlético Porcuna | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Atlético Porcuna 2-0 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 30, 2021 | Atlético Porcuna 0-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Alhaurino 1-2 Atlético Porcuna | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Atlético Porcuna on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Porcuna score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Porcuna | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Porcuna sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (46 points from 34 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41 | 39 | 46 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Porcuna vs Alhaurino?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Atlético Porcuna vs Alhaurino played?
- Atlético Porcuna vs Alhaurino is played on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Benito, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.