Málaga II vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 15Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,947 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Torre del Mar?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,778) and Torre del Mar (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Torre del Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- IIván Benito Mancera
- ÁÁngel Mateo
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Málaga II wins, 2 draws, 1 Torre del Mar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Málaga II 2-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Málaga II 0-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Málaga II 0-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Torre del Mar on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Málaga II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (11 points from 7 matches) and Torre del Mar sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Málaga II vs Torre del Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Torre del Mar played?
- Málaga II vs Torre del Mar is played on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.