Málaga II vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 15Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Torre del Mar?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,775) and Torre del Mar (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Antoniano(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Málaga II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Torre del Mar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Málaga II 2-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Málaga II 0-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Málaga II 0-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Torre del Mar on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Torre del Mar played?
- Málaga II vs Torre del Mar is played on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.