Atlético Saltillo vs Guerreros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:01 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo
The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Saltillo vs Guerreros?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Atlético Saltillo (1,855) and Guerreros (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Saltillo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Leones Negros(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Colima(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tecos(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Colima(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leones Negros(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Saltillo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Guerreros | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guerreros | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Saltillo vs Guerreros?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Guerreros.
- Where and when is Atlético Saltillo vs Guerreros played?
- Atlético Saltillo vs Guerreros is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:01 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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