Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San PedroDragones de Oaxaca

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,896) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,855).

Calor de San Pedro win50 %
Draw25 %
Dragones de Oaxaca win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones de Oaxaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Poza Rica(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Poza Rica(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026Aguacateros CDU(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Poza Rica(home)5-1Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Acambaro(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie B

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro1.30.956/156/15
Dragones de Oaxaca1.21.067/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Calor de San Pedro261277372644

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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