Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,896) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poza Rica(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aguacateros CDU(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- Calor de San Pedro vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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