Real Refineros vs Acambaro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Refineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Refineros vs Acambaro?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Real Refineros (1,802) and Acambaro (1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Refineros vs Acambaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Refineros
Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.
Acambaro
Not enough data to predict the Acambaro lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Acambaro have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Refineros score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 7; Acambaro score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Refineros | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Acambaro | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Refineros sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (7 points from 7 matches) and Acambaro sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Real Refineros vs Acambaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Acambaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Acambaro.
- Where and when is Real Refineros vs Acambaro played?
- Real Refineros vs Acambaro is played on April 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027FC SantiagovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Apr 10, 2027Héroes de ZacivsReal Apodaca
- Apr 10, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Apr 10, 2027CiervosvsDelfines Coatzacoalcos
- Apr 10, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Apr 10, 2027Calor de San PedrovsDragones de Oaxaca
- Apr 10, 2027Halcones NegrosvsCañoneros Marina
- Apr 10, 2027Atlético SaltillovsGuerreros