Héroes de Zaci vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs Real Apodaca?
Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Héroes de Zaci have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Real Apodaca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Neza(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héroes de Zaci | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Héroes de Zaci sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (34 points from 24 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 1st (66 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 19 | 66 |
| 9 | Héroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 46 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Héroes de Zaci vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Héroes de Zaci.
- Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs Real Apodaca played?
- Héroes de Zaci vs Real Apodaca is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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