Match

Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo

Atlético SaltilloMineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Atlético Saltillo (1,847) and Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852).

Atlético Saltillo win42 %
Draw26 %
Mineros de Fresnillo win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Saltillo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Saltillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Leones Negros(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 21, 2024Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 13, 2024Colima(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 7, 2024Tecos(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2024Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Cimarrones(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Cimarrones(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Durango(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(home)6-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Colima(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Saltillo win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2024Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A
Aug 12, 2023Mineros de Fresnillo 1-1 Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A
Apr 9, 2022Mineros de Fresnillo 0-5 Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A
Nov 27, 2021Atlético Saltillo 4-2 Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A
Jan 15, 2021Mineros de Fresnillo 2-2 Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2020Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo on Jan 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Saltillo0.81.175/156/15
Mineros de Fresnillo1.71.2410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Mineros de Fresnillo2611411404139

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?
Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Saltillo and Mineros de Fresnillo

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