Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo played?

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

Atlético Saltillo

The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlético Saltillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852) and Atlético Saltillo (1,847).

Mineros de Fresnillo win50 %

Draw24 %

Atlético Saltillo win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Saltillo have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Atlético Saltillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2024	Leones Negros(away)	1-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 21, 2024	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 13, 2024	Colima(away)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 7, 2024	Tecos(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2024	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Atlético Saltillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 14, 2024	Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Aug 12, 2023	Mineros de Fresnillo 1-1 Atlético Saltillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 9, 2022	Mineros de Fresnillo 0-5 Atlético Saltillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 27, 2021	Atlético Saltillo 4-2 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Jan 15, 2021	Mineros de Fresnillo 2-2 Atlético Saltillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2020	Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Atlético Saltillo vs Mineros de Fresnillo on Jan 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15
Atlético Saltillo	0.8	1.1	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo?: The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlético Saltillo.
Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo played?: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.