Where and when is Guerreros vs FC Santiago played?

Guerreros vs FC Santiago is played on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guerreros vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari

Guerreros

FC Santiago

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guerreros vs FC Santiago?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,824).

Guerreros win29 %

Draw26 %

FC Santiago win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15
FC Santiago	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guerreros sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (32 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guerreros vs FC Santiago?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Guerreros vs FC Santiago played?: Guerreros vs FC Santiago is played on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.