Match

Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)

Real RefinerosDragones de Oaxaca

The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Refineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Real Refineros (1,800) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,885).

42%26%32%
Real Refineros winDrawDragones de Oaxaca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Refineros

Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.

Dragones de Oaxaca

Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Refineros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 10, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Ciervos(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones de Oaxaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 13, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)5-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Real Refineros(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Cañoneros Marina(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Real Refineros wins, 0 draws, 1 Dragones de Oaxaca win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca 3-2 Real RefinerosLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Refineros score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Refineros1.62.025/85/8
Dragones de Oaxaca1.91.1510/159/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Refineros sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (7 points from 7 matches) and Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Dragones de Oaxaca852119819
8Real Refineros721411137

A question about Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on February 13, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Refineros and Dragones de Oaxaca

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