Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poza Rica(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aguacateros CDU(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- Real Refineros vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on February 13, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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