Atromitos Patras vs Lefkimmi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Atromitos Patras the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lefkimmi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos Patras vs Lefkimmi?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Atromitos Patras (1,458) and Lefkimmi (1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Atromitos Patras have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Lefkimmi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2020 | Missolonghi(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Atalanti(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos Patras score 0.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Lefkimmi score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos Patras | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| Lefkimmi | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos Patras vs Lefkimmi?
- The Footlab model makes Atromitos Patras the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lefkimmi.
- Where and when is Atromitos Patras vs Lefkimmi played?
- Atromitos Patras vs Lefkimmi is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.