Aubagne vs Bastia: result 0-1 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
Full time
What was the result of Aubagne vs Bastia?
Bastia won 0-1 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 28′J. SebasBastia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Aubagne win at 38%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Aubagne vs Bastia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aubagne
- 6A. Tafni
- 9Y. Zemoura
- 10K. Cissé
- 18A. Oudjani
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 37Adame Faiz
- 4R. Valme
- 20A. Bellebrahim
- 26M. Nehari
- 32Aymen Sadi
- 1I. Touré
Bastia
- 7C. Rodrigues
- 9F. Tomi
- 10J. Sebas
- 12L. Belal
- 13C. Melieres
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 22I. Monnier
- 2N. Zilliox
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 20G. Akueson
- 1T. De Percin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bastia have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bastia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 16th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Bastia sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs Bastia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy