Quevilly vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Diochon, Le Petit-Quevilly
The Footlab AI model makes Quevilly the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Quevilly wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quevilly vs Aubagne?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Quevilly (1,762) and Aubagne (1,733).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quevilly vs Aubagne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quevilly have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Aubagne have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Quevilly wins, 1 draw, 1 Aubagne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Aubagne 0-1 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Quevilly 1-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Quevilly 1-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Aubagne 1-1 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Quevilly score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quevilly | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quevilly sit 13th in Ligue 3 (10 points from 9 matches) and Aubagne sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Quevilly vs Aubagne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quevilly vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Quevilly the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Quevilly vs Aubagne played?
- Quevilly vs Aubagne is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Diochon, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.