Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen: result 4-3 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Guentrange, Thionville
Full time
What was the result of Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?
Thionville Lusitanos won 4-3 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 14′F. El KhoumistiCaen
- 16′M. HafidCaen
- 21′K. BouhmidiThionville Lusitanos
- 53′M. AljicThionville Lusitanos
- 63′F. GobitakaThionville Lusitanos
- 67′K. BouhmidiThionville Lusitanos
- 88′A. GnanduilletCaen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thionville Lusitanos have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Caen have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Laval(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Thionville Lusitanos score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thionville Lusitanos | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Caen | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thionville Lusitanos sit 1st in Ligue 3 (9 points from 3 matches) and Caen sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville Lusitanos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy