Aucas vs Libertad: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga Pro2nd Round - 4Kick-off on August 27, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Libertad?
Libertad won 1-2 on August 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 55′C. EncisoLibertad
- 74′R. SimisterraLibertad
- 90′J. CifuenteAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Libertad have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2023 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2023 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | El Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Orense SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2023 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Emelec(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Cumbayá(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aucas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Libertad 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Libertad | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 4th in Liga Pro (41 points from 25 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy