Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Western Sydney Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
Auckland starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Auckland win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Auckland 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Auckland 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 4-2 Auckland | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 3rd in A-League (42 points from 26 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | 42 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Western Sydney Wanderers.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on May 8, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.