Auda vs Olaine / Super Nova: result 2-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on May 17, 2014 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
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What was the result of Auda vs Olaine / Super Nova?
Auda won 2-1 on May 17, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auda have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Olaine / Super Nova have 1, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2014 | Jēkabpils(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2014 | Preiļu BJSS(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 1, 2014 | Salaspils(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Saldus / Brocēnu(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Tukums(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Salaspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2014 | 1625 Liepāja(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 1, 2014 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Rīgas FS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2014 | Ogre(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Auda score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olaine / Super Nova score 1.4 and concede 4.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Olaine / Super Nova | 1.4 | 4.6 | 1 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy