BFC Daugavpils vs Auda: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for BFC Daugavpils. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auda wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
Auda starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BFC Daugavpils
4-2-3-1- 97D. Kiwinda
- 10E. Ivanovs
- 11J. Yakubu
- 19E. Pinaskins
- 9A. Traore
- 4W. Mukwelle
- 8R. Skrebels
- 37Gļebs Mihaļcovs
- 34Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
- 5Papa
- 12J. Beks
Auda
4-3-3- 47K. Kone
- 7A. Appiah
- 23Mahamoud Fofana
- 25B. Diedhiou
- 8E. Bongemba
- 17E. Dašķevičs
- 4M. Ouedraogo
- 3D. Balodis
- 71O. Rubenis
- 6R. Kragliks
- 98N. Puriņš
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Auda have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BFC Daugavpils wins, 1 draw, 2 Auda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 2-2 Auda | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Auda 1-0 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| May 26, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Auda | Virsliga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Auda 2-3 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils 1-0 Auda | Virsliga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Auda 1-3 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: BFC Daugavpils vs Auda on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Auda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Auda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Daugavpils sit 5th in Virsliga (42 points from 32 matches) and Auda sit 3rd (64 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 42 |
A question about BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for BFC Daugavpils.
- Where and when is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda played?
- BFC Daugavpils vs Auda is played on October 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadions Celtnieks, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.