Audace Cerignola vs Bari: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Audace Cerignola wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Bari?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Audace Cerignola (1,760) and Bari (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Audace Cerignola vs Bari
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Audace Cerignola
4-3-3- 9D. Gambale
- 33M. Perlingieri
- 7A. Vinciguerra
- 58C. Cretella
- 4G. Vitale
- 68M. Sellaf
- 23A. Gasbarro
- 55M. Cocorocchio
- 27A. Boccadamo
- 44K. Miranda
- 22A. Viola
Bari
4-3-1-2- 7K. Butić
- 24F. Bianchi
- 25G. Maggiore
- 5E. Darboe
- 21M. Della Morte
- 11A. Tribuzzi
- 79M. Elia
- 6V. Mogoș
- 72N. Cocetta
- 14M. Anzolin
- 31M. Cerofolini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bari | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Audace Cerignola sit 6th in Serie C - Girone C (14 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Audace Cerignola vs Bari?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Bari?
- The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bari.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Bari played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Bari is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.