Cavese vs Bari: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cavese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavese vs Bari?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Cavese (1,742) and Bari (1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cavese vs Bari
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cavese
4-3-3- 24F. Orlando
- 82G. Fusco
- 8A. Diarrassouba
- 5T. Awua
- 20G. Esposito
- 4E. Visconti
- 25Manuel Peretti
- 23A. Fiordaliso
- 17F. Nunziata
- 28T. Mannucci
- 12V. Boffelli
Bari
4-3-1-2- 7K. Butić
- 24F. Bianchi
- 25G. Maggiore
- 5E. Darboe
- 21M. Della Morte
- 11A. Tribuzzi
- 79M. Elia
- 6V. Mogoș
- 72N. Cocetta
- 14M. Anzolin
- 31M. Cerofolini
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Cavese wins, 2 draws, 3 Bari wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari 3-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Bari 1-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Cavese 2-3 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Cavese 1-1 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Bari 4-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Cavese score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Bari | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavese sit 11th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 11 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Cavese vs Bari?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavese vs Bari?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cavese.
- Where and when is Cavese vs Bari played?
- Cavese vs Bari is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.