Match

Sorrento vs Potenza: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza

SorrentoPotenza

The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Sorrento. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sorrento vs Potenza?

Potenza starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,757).

25%25%50%
Sorrento winDrawPotenza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sorrento vs Potenza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sorrento

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Starita
  2. 9S. Parker
  3. 19A. Bolzan
  1. 8M. Cuccurullo
  2. 28L. Capezzi
  3. 3L. Crecco
  1. 33A. Viscardi
  2. 6F. Fusco
  3. 2M. Puzone
  4. 27C. Loreto
  1. 22S. Harrasser

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sorrento have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Potenza have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sorrento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Catania(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 31, 2026Team Altamura(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 27, 2026Savoia(away)0-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Inter U23(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Savoia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Nov 1, 2026Crotone(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 27, 2026Bari(home)2-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 23, 2026Team Altamura(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 17, 2026Catania(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sorrento wins, 2 draws, 4 Potenza wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Potenza 3-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Dec 6, 2025Sorrento 2-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Jan 18, 2025Sorrento 0-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 13, 2024Potenza 1-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Mar 2, 2024Sorrento 1-1 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Oct 26, 2023Potenza 3-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Potenza vs Sorrento on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sorrento score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sorrento1.11.166/155/15
Potenza2.51.3213/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sorrento sit 9th in Serie C - Girone C (20 points from 13 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (32 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza131021351832
9Sorrento13625161520

A question about Sorrento vs Potenza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sorrento vs Potenza?
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Sorrento.
Where and when is Sorrento vs Potenza played?
Sorrento vs Potenza is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sorrento and Potenza

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