Match

Catania vs Foggia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania

CataniaFoggia

The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Foggia. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Catania vs Foggia?

Catania starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,688).

68%20%12%
Catania winDrawFoggia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Catania vs Foggia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 9M. Coda
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 4A. Vallocchia
  3. 18N. Cavuoti
  1. 15M. Di Gennaro
  2. 32E. Masciangelo
  3. 68M. Ierardi
  4. 5M. Perrotta
  1. 57A. Dini

Foggia

4-2-3-1
  1. 16H. Haoudi
  1. 14F. Zuccon
  2. 4A. Gallo
  3. 8M. Coulibaly
  4. 37Valdes Ngana
  5. 7E. Oviszach
  1. 2G. Todisco
  2. 21F. Berra
  3. 3M. Seck
  4. 6D. Di Pasquale
  1. 22G. Saro

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Foggia have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Potenza(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Foggia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Potenza(home)1-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Cosenza(away)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Sorrento(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Inter U23(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Savoia(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Catania win, 4 draws, 1 Foggia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 4, 2026Foggia 1-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Aug 24, 2025Catania 6-0 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 2, 2025Catania 1-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Oct 20, 2024Foggia 2-2 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 2, 2024Foggia 1-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 25, 2023Catania 0-2 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Foggia vs Catania on Jan 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Catania score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Foggia score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Catania1.41.538/1511/15
Foggia0.91.256/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Catania sit 5th in Serie C - Girone C (16 points from 10 matches) and Foggia sit 13th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Catania10514181216
13Foggia932491011

A question about Catania vs Foggia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Catania vs Foggia?
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Foggia.
Where and when is Catania vs Foggia played?
Catania vs Foggia is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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