Aurora vs FBC Melgar: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores1st RoundKick-off on February 8, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
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What was the result of Aurora vs FBC Melgar?
Aurora won 1-0 on February 8, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. AlanízAurora
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FBC Melgar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Bolívar(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Always Ready(home) | 4-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Vaca Díez(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Libertad(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Cusco(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Bolívar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Deportivo Binacional(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Carlos A. Mannucci(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Melgar score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy