FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa
The Footlab model makes FBC Melgar the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Juan Pablo II College. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College?
FBC Melgar starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FBC Melgar have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Juan Pablo II College have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FBC Melgar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Juan Pablo II College win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College 1-1 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2025 | FBC Melgar 1-1 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 1-1 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Melgar score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FBC Melgar sit 5th in Primera División (28 points from 17 matches) and Juan Pablo II College sit 18th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 39 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College?
- The Footlab model makes FBC Melgar the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Juan Pablo II College.
- Where and when is FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College played?
- FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026Sport BoysvsUTC Cajamarca
- Nov 7, 2026CiencianovsSport Huancayo
- Nov 7, 2026Atletico GrauvsCusco
- Nov 7, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsAlianza Lima
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos
- Nov 7, 2026FC CajamarcavsAlianza Atletico