Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores1st RoundKick-off on February 9, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion?
Aucas won 1-0 on February 9, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 85′J. MedinaAucas (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Nacional Asuncion have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Delfin SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024 | Club Guarani(home) | 1-4 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Olimpia(away) | 2-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 23, 2024 | General Caballero(home) | 2-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Sportivo Luqueno(away) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Asuncion score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy