Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores1st RoundKick-off on February 9, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion?
Aucas won 1-0 on February 9, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 85′J. MedinaAucas (pen.)
Official lineup for Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aucas
5-4-1- 9J. Medina
- 32M. Sanabria
- 25R. Jaramillo
- 8A. Mina
- 22L. Cano
- 29C. Cuero
- 2A. Garcia
- 16C. Rolón
- 33L. Cangá
- 18J. González
- 1F. Lanzillota
Nacional Asuncion
4-3-3- 11G. Caballero
- 9I. Bailone
- 33O. Gaona
- 21B. Cáceres
- 7E. Orzusa
- 6J. Alfaro
- 29S. Vargas
- 5S. Ojeda
- 17B. Blasi
- 14C. Núñez
- 1A. Silva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Nacional Asuncion have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Delfin SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024 | Club Guarani(home) | 1-4 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Olimpia(away) | 2-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 23, 2024 | General Caballero(home) | 2-2 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Sportivo Luqueno(away) | 1-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Asuncion score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aucas vs Nacional Asuncion?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy