Aurora vs Real Potosí: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on September 30, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Full time
What was the result of Aurora vs Real Potosí?
Aurora won 3-2 on September 30, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 16′V. CastellónAurora
- 39′Matías Rodrigo VicedoAurora (pen.)
- 45′M. GómezReal Potosí
- 65′V. CastellónAurora
- 87′Rodrigo Fabián Ávila SólizReal Potosí
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Potosí have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Sansare(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Club Destroyers(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Guabirá(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | Bolívar(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Royal Pari(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2018 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | San José(home) | 0-5 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Potosí score 1.1 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Potosí | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 3rd in Primera División (16 points from 8 matches) and Real Potosí sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aurora | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 25 |
| 7 | Aurora | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 13 | Real Potosí | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy