Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 24Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab AI model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oriente Petrolero wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
On Elo ratings, Oriente Petrolero has 1,580 points and Aurora 1,564.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oriente Petrolero
4-3-3- 11L. Vaca
- 91N. Nacif
- 8O. Siles
- 77J. Herrera
- 20J. Lovera
- 7J. Flores
- 3Mizael Monteiro
- 6D. Rodríguez
- 24M. Velasco
- 44Francisco López
- 1A. Torrez
Aurora
4-1-4-1- 9M. Rangel
- 69A. Terrazas
- 14H. Sánchez
- 5A. Amarilla
- 10R. Ramallo
- 19J. Sánchez
- 16D. Barro
- 70J. Torrico
- 22J. Velázquez
- 4I. Vidaurre
- 12R. Cordano
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriente Petrolero have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Aurora have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 3-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ABB(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 0-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oriente Petrolero wins, 1 draw, 2 Aurora wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Aurora 2-2 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 3-0 Aurora | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Aurora 5-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Oriente Petrolero 5-0 Aurora | Primera División |
| May 12, 2024 | Aurora 3-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Aurora | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oriente Petrolero score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oriente Petrolero sit 5th in Primera División (34 points from 22 matches) and Aurora sit 6th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
A question about Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Aurora.
- Where and when is Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora played?
- Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.