Aurora vs Real Tomayapo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 23Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Real Tomayapo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
Aurora starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,456).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aurora
4-1-4-1- 9M. Rangel
- 69A. Terrazas
- 14H. Sánchez
- 5A. Amarilla
- 19J. Sánchez
- 10R. Ramallo
- 16D. Barro
- 70J. Torrico
- 22J. Velázquez
- 4I. Vidaurre
- 12R. Cordano
Real Tomayapo
4-1-4-1- 18R. Eguez
- 8J. Mamani
- 6V. Melgar
- 12J. Ribera
- 27Ruan Costa
- 11F. Nouet
- 24D. Robles
- 19Robson
- 17M. Bejarano
- 14V. Gálvez
- 1L. Cárdenas
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Real Tomayapo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 30, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 2-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 0-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 0-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aurora win, 2 draws, 3 Real Tomayapo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 0-2 Aurora | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Aurora 1-2 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| May 4, 2025 | Real Tomayapo 0-0 Aurora | Primera División |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Real Tomayapo 2-1 Aurora | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Aurora 0-0 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Aurora 1-2 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Tomayapo vs Aurora on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Tomayapo score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Tomayapo | 1.0 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 6th in Primera División (31 points from 22 matches) and Real Tomayapo sit 15th (20 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 20 |
A question about Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Real Tomayapo.
- Where and when is Aurora vs Real Tomayapo played?
- Aurora vs Real Tomayapo is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Félix Capriles, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.