Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 25Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Real Tomayapo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Independiente Petrolero starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,440).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Independiente Petrolero
4-4-2- 93Willie
- 91G. Álvarez
- 6D. Rojas
- 26L. Sanchez
- 7R. Cardozo
- 20A. Mercado
- 2S. Torres
- 50Roni Santos
- 34G. Mendoza
- 3L. Crescencio
- 12Jhunior Vera
Real Tomayapo
4-1-3-2- 27Ruan Costa
- 18R. Eguez
- 8J. Mamani
- 28D. Wayar
- 21D. Ramallo
- 14V. Gálvez
- 24D. Robles
- 19Robson
- 17M. Bejarano
- 55G. Barbieri
- 1L. Cárdenas
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Tomayapo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 2-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ABB(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 4-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blooming(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 0-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Petrolero wins, 0 draws, 3 Real Tomayapo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 5-1 Real Tomayapo | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 3-0 Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 2-1 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Real Tomayapo | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 2-1 Independiente Petrolero | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Real Tomayapo 3-6 Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo on Sep 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Tomayapo score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Tomayapo | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Petrolero sit 8th in Primera División (30 points from 24 matches) and Real Tomayapo sit 16th (20 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 30 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 40 | 20 |
A question about Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Real Tomayapo.
- Where and when is Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo played?
- Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo is played on November 6, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Patria, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.