Bolívar vs The Strongest: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 25Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for The Strongest. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolívar vs The Strongest?
Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolívar vs The Strongest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolívar
4-4-2- 27D. Asprilla
- 77D. Romero
- 7J. Velásquez
- 14R. Matheus
- 22A. Ayhuana
- 80C. Melgar
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 3X. Arreaga
- 8L. Paz
- 1C. Lampe
The Strongest
5-4-1- 26G. Sotomayor
- 9C. Ventura
- 17A. Estacio
- 6J. Welch
- 16V. Cuellar
- 3P. Pedraza
- 21F. Quaglio
- 4M. Chiatti
- 15S. Arce
- 5A. Jusino
- 1L. Banegas
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; The Strongest have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bolívar wins, 4 draws, 0 The Strongest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bolívar 4-2 The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 31, 2026 | The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Bolívar 0-0 The Strongest | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Jan 30, 2026 | The Strongest 2-2 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Nov 30, 2025 | The Strongest 2-3 Bolívar | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: The Strongest vs Bolívar on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; The Strongest score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| The Strongest | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolívar sit 1st in Primera División (57 points from 24 matches) and The Strongest sit 3rd (48 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 24 | 57 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 48 |
A question about Bolívar vs The Strongest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolívar vs The Strongest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for The Strongest.
- Where and when is Bolívar vs The Strongest played?
- Bolívar vs The Strongest is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.