Austevoll vs Gneist: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Austevoll the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Gneist. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austevoll vs Gneist?
Austevoll starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austevoll have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gneist have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vard(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Åsane II(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Os(home) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Førde(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Førde(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fana(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vard(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Brann II(home) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 2-6 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Austevoll win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gneist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Gneist 4-5 Austevoll | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Austevoll score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gneist score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austevoll | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Gneist | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austevoll sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (23 points from 16 matches) and Gneist sit 12th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Austevoll | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 37 | 23 |
| 12 | Gneist | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 48 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austevoll vs Gneist?
- The Footlab model makes Austevoll the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Gneist.
- Where and when is Austevoll vs Gneist played?
- Austevoll vs Gneist is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.