Sogndal II vs Austevoll: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
The Footlab model makes Sogndal II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Austevoll. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sogndal II vs Austevoll?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Sogndal II (1,553) and Austevoll (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sogndal II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Austevoll have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fana(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Askøy(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Førde(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vard(away) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vard(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Åsane II(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Os(home) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Førde(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sogndal II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Austevoll win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Austevoll 0-4 Sogndal II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
Last archived meeting: Austevoll vs Sogndal II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sogndal II score 2.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Austevoll score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal II | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Austevoll | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sogndal II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (24 points from 16 matches) and Austevoll sit 9th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sogndal II | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 24 |
| 9 | Austevoll | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 37 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sogndal II vs Austevoll?
- The Footlab model makes Sogndal II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Austevoll.
- Where and when is Sogndal II vs Austevoll played?
- Sogndal II vs Austevoll is played on October 3, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Fosshaugane Campus, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.