Ried vs TSV Hartberg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for TSV Hartberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ried wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs TSV Hartberg?
On Elo ratings, Ried has 2,001 points and TSV Hartberg 2,025.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ried vs TSV Hartberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ried
4-2-3-1- 47Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
- 12A. Bajić
- 22S. Schwab
- 6Y. Maart
- 8M. Rasner
- 11J. Rhodes
- 30O. Steurer
- 28S. Chukwudi
- 17P. Pomer
- 18F. Rossdorfer
- 1A. Leitner
TSV Hartberg
4-4-2- 7A. Gattermayer
- 22M. Hoffman
- 4B. Markuš
- 5Y. Diarra
- 23T. Kainz
- 10O. Lukic
- 14P. Komposch
- 27K. Schopp
- 16M. Dalpiaz
- 12M. Pfeifer
- 91Á. Pécsi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; TSV Hartberg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 4-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ried(home) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ried wins, 0 draws, 6 TSV Hartberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 3-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 2-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ried 0-2 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| May 27, 2023 | TSV Hartberg 2-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ried 1-3 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Ried 0-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Hartberg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| TSV Hartberg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 5th in Bundesliga (11 points from 8 matches) and TSV Hartberg sit 6th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Ried vs TSV Hartberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs TSV Hartberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for TSV Hartberg.
- Where and when is Ried vs TSV Hartberg played?
- Ried vs TSV Hartberg is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.