Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Lustenau have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Austria Lustenau win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Red Bull Salzburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Red Bull Salzburg 7-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-4 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Austria Lustenau 0-6 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| May 29, 2020 | Red Bull Salzburg 5-0 Austria Lustenau | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Austria Lustenau 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Lustenau sit 5th in Bundesliga (5 points from 4 matches) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Pure Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.